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PRACA ORYGINALNA
Czy wzrost gospodarczy i wyższe wydatki na wojsko są możliwe jednocześnie? Perspektywa endogeniczności
1
Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, Poland
Data nadesłania: 27-12-2022
Data ostatniej rewizji: 30-04-2023
Data akceptacji: 12-06-2023
Data publikacji: 30-06-2023
GNPJE 2023;314(2):28-46
SŁOWA KLUCZOWE
KODY KLASYFIKACJI JEL
STRESZCZENIE
Przyczyny i skutki wydatków na cele wojskowe pozostają jednym z kluczowych
obszarów geopolityki i debaty publicznej. Często stwierdza się, że zwiększenie
budżetu na obronność może pobudzić gospodarkę poprzez zwiększenie produkcji
sprzętu wojskowego. To, co powinno wówczas wystąpić, to sprzężenie zwrotne
pomiędzy wydatkami wojskowymi a stanem gospodarki. Zasadniczym celem artykułu
jest zbadanie wskazanej odwrotnej relacji na poziomie krajów przy użyciu
niezrównoważonego zestawu danych panelowych obejmującego 173 kraje w latach
1949–2020. Zaprezentowana analiza empiryczna wskazuje, że badana relacja sprzężenia
zwrotnego między wydatkami wojskowymi a wzrostem gospodarczym jest
albo całkowicie nieobecna, albo co najwyżej bardzo słaba.
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